RV 1743 · LAX → YVR

departs 3:15 PM PT · arrives 6:38 PM PDT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YVR?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YVR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1743 · LAX → YVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to YVR?