Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3038 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:00 PM PT, ETA 8:09 PM PT)

Tuesday, October 27 Today

SY 3038 · GEG → SBD

took off 6:00 PM PT · expected to land 8:09 PM PT (scheduled 5:55 PM PT → 8:51 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SBD more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SBD?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at GEG that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBD

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GEG (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.03 in

SBD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3038 · GEG → SBD

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBD?