Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3085 LANDED 5:54 PM ET, ~6 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, October 27 Today

SY 3085 · AFW → RIC

took off 2:31 PM CT · landed 5:54 PM ET (scheduled 2:25 PM CT → 6:08 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RIC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into RIC at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AFW (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

RIC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3085 · AFW → RIC

Odds over time

How late did it get to RIC?