Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 8218 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

SY 8218 · SJT → ELP

departs 4:24 PM CT · arrives 4:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into ELP at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

Weather at each end

SJT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

ELP (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8218 · SJT → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?