Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 8253 LANDED 1:33 PM PT, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

SY 8253 · SEA → PDX

took off 12:58 PM PT · landed 1:33 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 12pm departures from SEA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SY's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.04 in

PDX (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8253 · SEA → PDX

Odds over time