Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 8256 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

SY 8256 · BUF → CHA

departs 1:53 PM ET · arrives 3:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CHA?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at CHA that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into CHA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8256 · BUF → CHA

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHA?