Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 8281 LANDED 4:16 PM ET, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

SY 8281 · GPT → SFB

took off 2:03 PM CT · landed 4:16 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GPT

Weather at each end

GPT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFB (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8281 · GPT → SFB

Odds over time