Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 560 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

TA 560 · SAL → SFO

departs 9:54 PM CST · arrives 2:28 AM PT

Your aircraft is N920AV (A20N), coming in as TAI581 from IAD: still at IAD, due off about 5:44 AM ET, 842 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

SAL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 560 · SAL → SFO

Odds over time