Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
TURKISH AIRLINES · FLIGHT TK 192
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
TK 192 · DFW → IST
departs 10:03 PM CT · arrives 5:15 PM +03
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 19%
Fri 10/30 24%
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at IST more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IST more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at IST more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IST?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
10pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IST (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.