Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
TURKISH AIRLINES · FLIGHT TK 32
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
TK 32 · ATL → IST
departs 10:03 PM ET · arrives 3:08 PM +03
Your aircraft is TCJJK (B77W), coming in as TK 31 from IST: landed 8:01 PM ET.
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 12%
Thu 10/29 13%
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at IST more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IST more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at IST more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IST?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↑
10pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IST (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.