Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
TURKISH AIRLINES · FLIGHT TK 34
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
TK 34 · IAH → IST
departs 9:31 PM CT · arrives 4:51 PM +03
Your aircraft is TCLME (B789), coming in as TK 33 from IST: landed 7:21 PM CT.
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 9%
Thu 10/29 11%
Fri 10/30 15%
Sat 10/31 10%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at IST more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IST more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at IST more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IST?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
IST (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.