Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
TURKISH AIRLINES · FLIGHT TK 80
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
TK 80 · SFO → IST
departs 7:34 PM PT · arrives 5:53 PM +03
Your aircraft is TCLHB (A359), coming in as TK 79 from IST: landed 5:20 PM PT.
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 9%
Thu 10/29 12%
Fri 10/30 15%
Sat 10/31 9%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at IST more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IST more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at IST more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IST?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from SFO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IST (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.