UA 1027 · LAX → DEN

departs 6:06 PM PT · arrives 9:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1027 · LAX → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?