Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1123 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1123 · CUN → IAH

departs 2:43 PM EST · arrives 5:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    53%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    16%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.