Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1202SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1202 · IAH → SFO
departs 7:43 PM CT · arrives 9:59 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
46%chance · ±1 pts+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.