UA 1241 · EUG → DEN

departs 5:00 AM PT · arrives 8:37 AM MT

Your aircraft is N47288 (B38M), coming in as UA 1303 from DEN: landed 9:21 PM PT.

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from EUG are usually not late

Weather at each end

EUG (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.29 in

DEN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1241 · EUG → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?