UA 1248 · ORD → ATL

departs 2:30 PM CT · arrives 5:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1248 · ORD → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?