Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1262 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

UA 1262 · OKC → IAH

departs 7:01 AM CT · arrives 8:37 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

IAH (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1262 · OKC → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?