Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1423 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Yesterday

UA 1423 · DEN → YVR

departs 12:12 PM MT · arrives 2:16 PM PDT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to YVR?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into YVR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

YVR (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1423 · DEN → YVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to YVR?