UA 1427 · DEN → COS

took off 12:11 PM MT · landed 12:29 PM MT (scheduled 11:28 AM MT → 12:19 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to COS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

COS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.06 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1427 · DEN → COS

Odds over time

How late did it get to COS?