tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1469 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1469 · DEN → MTJ

departs 1:15 PM MT · arrives 2:16 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Arrive at MTJ more than 15 minutes late?
27% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MTJ?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.