UA 182 · DEN → FRA

took off 5:06 PM MT · landed 8:38 AM CET (scheduled 5:04 PM MT → 9:31 AM CET)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at FRA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FRA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into FRA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

FRA (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 182 · DEN → FRA

Odds over time

How late did it get to FRA?