UA 1887 · DEN → IAD

took off 12:03 AM MT · expected to land 4:55 AM ET (scheduled 12:09 AM MT → 5:36 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAD?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1887 · DEN → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?