tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 188 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 188 · EWR → JNB

departs 9:23 PM ET · arrives 5:49 PM SAST
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at JNB more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JNB?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    20%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.