UA 1998 · IAH → CVG

departs 12:29 PM CT · arrives 4:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1998 · IAH → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?