tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2010 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 2010 · SFO → OGG

departs 8:15 AM PT · arrives 10:45 AM HT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to OGG?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.