UA 2115 · PHX → SFO

departs 6:58 AM MT · arrives 9:14 AM PT

Your aircraft is N81449 (B739), coming in as UA 2019 from SFO: landed 6:32 PM MT.

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ 6am departures from PHX are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2115 · PHX → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?