Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 211 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Tomorrow

UA 211 · BFL → DEN

departs 5:01 AM PT · arrives 8:36 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from BFL are usually not late

Weather at each end

BFL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility5 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 211 · BFL → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?