UA 2136 · DEN → TPA

departs 1:58 PM MT · arrives 7:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2136 · DEN → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?