UA 252 · HNL → IAH

took off 8:38 PM HT · landed 8:32 AM CT (scheduled 8:31 PM HT → 9:09 AM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to IAH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ 8pm departures from HNL are usually not late

↓ HNL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.42 in

IAH (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 252 · HNL → IAH

Odds over time

How late did it get to IAH?