UA 2767 · SEA → IAH

took off 12:23 AM PT · expected to land 5:58 AM CT (scheduled 12:09 AM PT → 6:45 AM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ 12am departures from SEA are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

IAH (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2767 · SEA → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?