tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2847 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:03 AM PT, ETA 6:42 AM CT)
Today

UA 2847 · SFO → ORD

took off 1:03 AM PT · expected to land 6:42 AM CT (scheduled 12:55 AM PT → 7:13 AM CT)
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.2d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.