Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3876 LANDED 2:31 AM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

UA 3876 · EWR → MLB

took off 12:29 AM ET · landed 2:31 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MLB more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MLB (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 3876 · EWR → MLB

Odds over time