tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 442 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 442 · SFO → SAN

departs 8:58 PM PT · arrives 10:37 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 7.0d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.