UA 488 · BUR → SFO

departs 7:32 AM PT · arrives 9:26 AM PT

Your aircraft is N452UA (A320), coming in as UA 1367 from SFO: landed 9:43 PM PT.

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

95% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ 7am departures from BUR are usually not late

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 488 · BUR → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?