tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 78 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:32 PM JST, SEEN BY ADS-B, ETA 5:07 PM ET)
Today

UA 78 · NRT → EWR

took off 5:32 PM JST · expected to land 5:07 PM ET (scheduled 5:15 PM JST → 5:51 PM ET)
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
0% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.2d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.