Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 864 LANDED 3:39 PM JST, ~31 MIN EARLY
Yesterday

UA 864 · GUM → NRT

took off · landed 3:39 PM JST (scheduled 1:23 PM ChST → 4:17 PM JST)
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 20h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.0d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to NRT?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.