tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 948 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 948 · SFO → LHR

departs 5:09 PM PT · arrives 10:38 AM GMT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at LHR more than 15 minutes late?
23% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LHR?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.