Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 98 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:31 PM PT, ETA 7:54 AM AEDT)

Tuesday, October 27 Today

UA 98 · LAX → MEL

took off 11:31 PM PT · expected to land 7:54 AM AEDT (scheduled 12:07 AM PT → 9:43 AM AEDT)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MEL more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MEL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MEL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 98 · LAX → MEL

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEL?