UP 208 · FLL → NAS

departs 6:32 PM ET · arrives 7:39 PM EDT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±10 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to NAS?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ 6pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into NAS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.39 in

NAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UP 208 · FLL → NAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to NAS?