Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

VIRGIN ATLANTIC · FLIGHT VS 10 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

VS 10 · JFK → LHR

departs 10:38 PM ET · arrives 8:28 AM GMT

Your aircraft is GVBOB (A35K), coming in as VS 9 from LHR: landed 7:30 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LHR more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LHR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VS 10 · JFK → LHR

Odds over time