WN 14 · DAL → MCO

departs 11:20 AM CT · arrives 2:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt forecast at MCO that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 14 · DAL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?