WN 1672 · DEN → MCO

took off 11:56 PM MT · expected to land 5:00 AM ET (scheduled 12:05 AM MT → 5:42 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCO?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt forecast at MCO that day

↑ Other factors

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1672 · DEN → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?