WN 1690 · LAS → STS

departs 9:14 AM PT · arrives 11:03 AM PT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STS?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1690 · LAS → STS

Odds over time

How late will it get to STS?