WN 1744 · FLL → BNA

departs 8:08 PM ET · arrives 9:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
23%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.52 in

BNA (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1744 · FLL → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?