WN 1758 · SLC → MDW

departs 1:04 PM MT · arrives 5:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts40 kt Ceiling9,857 ft Visibility8.28571 mi Precip0.01 in

MDW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1758 · SLC → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?