WN 1874 · LAX → LAS

departs 10:52 AM PT · arrives 12:05 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1874 · LAX → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?