WN 1987 · MCO → SAT

departs 10:20 AM ET · arrives 12:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from MCO are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

SAT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1987 · MCO → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?