WN 2116 · SJU → BWI

departs 5:55 AM AT · arrives 9:55 AM ET

Your aircraft is N8726H (B38M), coming in as WN 2807 from MCO: landed 2:02 AM AT.

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ SJU is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from SJU are usually not late

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2116 · SJU → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?