WN 2141 · DEN → LGA

departs 9:00 AM MT · arrives 2:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2141 · DEN → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?